Current capacity and forecasted demand
As the population of Warwickshire continues to age, the demand for care homes for those aged 65 and over is expected to increase in the coming years. However, forecasting this demand accurately is a complex and challenging task. This is due to a range of factors, including demographic changes, evolving health needs, and economic conditions.
This complexity means that it is difficult to predict demand or precisely how much of any service might be needed in any given location. While we have seen fluctuations in both our residential and nursing care bed occupancy over the period from April 2019 to April 2023, there is an overall increasing trend in the latter months. These findings suggest a growing demand for care services and emphasise the importance of adequate resources and planning to meet the evolving needs of older adults requiring residential and nursing care.
Our out of county residential beds account for 6% of existing WCC clients and nursing beds account for 13% of existing clients. The predominate reason for these out of county beds is service user choice, often to live closer to relatives.
